This note was stimulated by Boris' earlier comments about Prigogine. I
hadn't thought about Prigogine in some time, but this may be an
important avenue for us.
Suppose we used the modeling technique Stafford describes in Decision
and Control to apply Prigogine's dissipative structures framework to
our current situation?
Twenty eight years ago I tried to do that for the individual and the
school. The effort was only so-so successful but at that time I didn't
have colleagues who knew much about systems/cybernetics and no one at
all that knew about Prigogine.
I just did a half hour search of the Web and it seems that there has
been some work applying Prigogine's theory to social systems. One of
the authors I found is Immanuel Wallerstein, who also predicts an
imminent collapse (see http://www.agenceglobal.com/article.asp?
id=1766). The Metaphorum group could, I suspect, generate a very
useful model in fairly short order, one that would provide us with (at
least) provocative and useful hypotheses about what is likely to
happen or what might work as a response to the coming collapse.
What about it? Shall we try?
BARRY A CLEMSON
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